Decide with Economics: Expected Value and Portfolio Thinking
Multiply outcomes by probabilities and compare options on a common economic basis. Even rough numbers beat intuition alone, especially when stakes are high and cognitive biases crowd the table.
Decide with Economics: Expected Value and Portfolio Thinking
Quantify how value decays as delivery slips. Features with steep decay deserve earlier attention, even if they are less glamorous. This lens turns debates into math and unlocks agreement without escalation.